A Markov Chain Simulation to compare two competing strategies.

… By using wargaming, security teams can model cyber threat scenarios, apply different defense measures (like firewalls, endpoint protection, and SOCs), and observe how these defenses alter the attacker’s likelihood of success. This provides a better understanding of where resources should be allocated and how to improve defense measures.

In this post, we’ll use wargaming to evaluate whether investing in security detection and response capabilities is worthwhile. The approach involves modeling a simple cyber intrusion as a Markov Chain and adding a detection step to analyze how it affects the likelihood of a successful attack. — Read More